1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
988 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,383/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$364/mo
Annual
$4,366/yr
Cap rate
9.93%
Cash-on-cash
12.99%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Banks Road Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 648 students, 43% FRL); Herbert Akins Road Middle (827 students, 31% FRL); Willow Spring High (1,477 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 494 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Fuquay-Varina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QZ9E952CT747HK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29