1117 Leach St · Fuquay-Varina, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! This ranch-style home sits on just over an acre and offers endless potential for renovation or rebuild. The large 1.03-acre lot provides plenty of space to create your vision. Conveniently located with a peaceful setting—ideal for investors, builders, or anyone looking for a fresh start.
Key facts
- Ranch-style home
- Peaceful setting
- 1.03-acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 open parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: House; Single-story
- Construction: Construction details: see listing remarks
- Exterior features: Raised foundation; Shingle roof; Lot of about 1.03 acres; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: See listing remarks
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating: see listing remarks; No cooling (no central air)
- Interior features: Flooring: see listing remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Fuquay-Varina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Banks Road Elementary (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 648 students, 43% FRL); Herbert Akins Road Middle (827 students, 31% FRL); Willow Spring High (1,477 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 494 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.99%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,753
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $23,481
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27603
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 494
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,383 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $596/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $432 | -5% $398 | +0% $364 | +5% $330 | +10% $296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $255 | -5% $309 | +0% $364 | +5% $418 | +10% $473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $424 | -0.5pp $394 | base $364 | +0.5pp $333 | +1.0pp $301 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 Sitterson Dr Raleigh, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,395 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-05-19price $120,000
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2025-12-01status Active
-
2025-11-07status Pending
-
2025-11-05$172,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $596 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$388/yr (+$32/mo · 65.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$596
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,328
- − Management
- −$1,328
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,535
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$608
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wake County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704720
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,509
- Composite
- 49.41/100
- National rank
- #2010
- State rank
- #35 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fuquay-Varina
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Wake County · 1,216,256 people
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,972
- Household income
- $90,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1914.0
Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,293,152 people
- By 2030
- 1,428,223 · +10.4%
- By 2040
- 1,698,188 · +31.3%
- By 2050
- 1,955,807 · +51.2%
- By 2075
- 2,520,273 · +94.9%
- By 2100
- 2,893,335 · +123.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.00%
- Current HPI
- 243.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-30.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — TMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $120,000 TMLS
- 2026-03-10 Pending — TMLS
- 2025-12-01 Relisted — TMLS
- 2025-11-07 Pending — TMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $172,500 TMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $596 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…