2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,542 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,009/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$356
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$632
Net cashflow
$369/mo
Annual
$4,424/yr
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.02%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (4.5% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $301k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#964 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #517 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Windham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QZK3QSFDZHXC20
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29