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689 Old Rd
C Composite 56.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$315,000

689 Old Rd · Windham, NY 12439
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,542 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1930 1.00 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into the charm of this 1930s 2-bedroom, 2-bath ranch, just minutes from the Village of Windham and Windham Mountain. Nestled on a full acre and bordered by 25.5 acres of protected NYC watershed land, the property offers rare privacy and a seamless connection to nature. Wake up to the gentle sounds of a seasonal creek and lush surrounding greenery, a true mountain escape. Outside, a spacious deck invites morning coffee or evening stargazing, while a charming gazebo provides the perfect spot to unwind. A detached garage rounds out the exterior, ideal for storage or a workshop. Inside feel the cozy character of the home with endless potential, whether you're curling up by the fire or host

Key facts

  • Charming gazebo
  • Seasonal creek
  • Renowned hiking

Tags

SEASONAL CREEKSPACIOUS DECKCHARMING GAZEBODETACHED GARAGERENOWNED HIKINGBIKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Asphalt driveway; Paved surfaces; Garage faces side
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; 150 Amp electrical service
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Storage; Deck; Patio; Gazebo; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heat; Oil-fired heating
  • Interior features: Main-level primary bedroom; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Main-level laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (4.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $301k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.4% in Windham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#964 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
  • Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #517 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $300,866 (4.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.02%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$41,055
Equity at exit
$120,026
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$139,823
Equity at exit
$169,655

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12439

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,009 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$632
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,542
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $315,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $315,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-05-24
    listed $315,000 Active
  16. 2025-12-25
    historical
  17. 2025-09-10
    price $340,000
  18. 2025-09-10
    price $340,000
  19. 2025-07-18
    status Active
  20. 2025-07-18
    status Active
  21. 2025-07-10
    status Pending
  22. 2025-07-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2025-05-02
    price $343,000
  24. 2025-05-02
    price $343,000
  25. 2025-04-10
    listed $345,000 Active
  26. 2025-03-24
    listed $345,000 Active
  27. 2024-08-12
    status Active
  28. 2024-07-29
    status Pending
  29. 2024-03-18
    status Active
  30. 2024-02-04
    historical Accepted (Show)
  31. 2023-11-29
    listed $345,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,700 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,012 · $334/mo
Expected delta
+$1,312/yr (+$109/mo · 48.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,104
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$2,700
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,888
− Management
−$2,888
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$182
After-tax cash flow
$4,606/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District
NCES district ID
3631590
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,942
Composite
42.57/100
National rank
#6842
State rank
#517 of 755 in NY

Livability — Windham

Score
60/100
State rank
#964
US rank
#18888

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
380

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,963 people
By 2030
43,126 · -4.1%
By 2040
38,756 · -13.8%
By 2050
34,913 · -22.4%
By 2075
28,156 · -37.4%
By 2100
22,296 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Lithuanian 3% German 2%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.75%
Current HPI
449.8271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Listed $315,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-12-25 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $340,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $340,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Relisted HVCRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-09 Contingent HVCRMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $343,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $343,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $345,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-24 Listed $345,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2024-08-12 Relisted HVCRMLS
  • 2024-07-29 Pending HVCRMLS
  • 2024-03-18 Relisted HVCRMLS
  • 2024-02-04 Contingent HVCRMLS
  • 2023-11-29 Listed $345,000 HVCRMLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,700 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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