3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,608 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,007/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,284
Tax + insurance
−$368
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-803/yr
Cap rate
5.96%
Cash-on-cash
-1.17%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$68,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-803/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (18.0% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Poland Local (suburban): math 70% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #94 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $245k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R0TC2AD30KSXCB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29