1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
517 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 166 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$889/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$223
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$187
Net cashflow
$151/mo
Annual
$1,810/yr
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.21%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
2.09%
Cash to close
$11,900
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $42k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($889 rent vs $42k).
It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Maverick El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 499 students, 93% FRL); Longfellow Middle (math 7% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,634 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 646 students, 92% FRL); Jefferson H S (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 1,686 students, 87% FRL, charter).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-R17FDDC70Z3QJP
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29