2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 532 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,778/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$524
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,384/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (10.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (6.4% below list).
It's been on market 532 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#90 in NJ, #2,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: crime D+, amenities D.
Mt. Ephraim School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #341 of 472 in NJ (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mary Bray Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #795 of 1,303 statewide, top 64%, 297 students, 37% FRL); Raymond W. Kershaw School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #221 of 431 statewide, top 52%, 141 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $190k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 532 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29