4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,262 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$539/mo
Annual
$6,470/yr
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.95%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$40,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
North Panola School District (rural): math 2% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #129 of 130 in MS (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: North Panola Middle School (math 4% / reading 10%, grade F, #170 of 179 statewide, top 95%, 281 students, 100% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Panola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Panola County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29