3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,950 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,426/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,774
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$720
Net cashflow
$-427/mo
Annual
$-5,123/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.46%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$148,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $529k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-427 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $454k (14.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (35.2% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($497k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $343k (35.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hilton Head Island Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 709 students, 56% FRL); Hilton Head Island Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #90 of 229 statewide, top 42%, 856 students, 52% FRL); Hilton Head Island High (math 70% / reading 82%, grade A-, #34 of 196 statewide, top 17%, 1,345 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 400 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $253k; list at $529k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.9% in Hilton Head Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29