2904 Sagamore Ln

Asheville, NC 28806

$215,000D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Built 1995 · Condo · Active · 198 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,854/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax + insurance: −$221
• HOA: −$352
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $-236/mo
• Annual: $-2,827/yr
• Cap rate: 4.98%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.70%
• DSCR: 0.79
• 1% rule: 0.86%
• Cash to close: $60,200

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (13.7% below list).
• It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $173k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
• Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sand Hill-Venable Elem (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #682 of 1,410 statewide, top 49%, 534 students, 77% FRL); Enka Middle (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 475 statewide, top 37%, 602 students, 65% FRL); Enka High (math 77% / reading 63%, grade B+, #119 of 535 statewide, top 22%, 1,045 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $91k; list at $215k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?