2904 Sagamore Ln · Asheville, NC 28806

$215,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Condo public records · 198 Days on market

Built 1995 $183/sqft · 22% below area Est $265k · 19% under $352/mo HOA · 19% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +7.8/30.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come home to Biltmore Commons! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere and is ready for its new owners. The main living area features a gas fireplace and vaulted ceilings with skylights that flood the space with natural light. Head outside to your private screened in porch which offers beautiful views of lush greenery. The spacious master suite provides a peaceful retreat, while the community amenities — including a pool, tennis courts, and clubhouse — ensure you'll have plenty of ways to relax and socialize. Located in a welcoming neighborhood, this condo offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and lifestyle just minutes from dining, shopping, and outdoor activities. Seller to offer $5K flooring credit with acceptable offer!

Key facts

• Community amenities
• Gas fireplace
• Pool

Tags

• GAS FIREPLACE
• VAULTED CEILINGS
• SKYLIGHTS
• PRIVATE SCREENED IN PORCH
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• POOL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (19.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (13.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $173k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
• Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sand Hill-Venable Elem (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #682 of 1,410 statewide, top 49%, 534 students, 77% FRL); Enka Middle (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 475 statewide, top 37%, 602 students, 65% FRL); Enka High (math 77% / reading 63%, grade B+, #119 of 535 statewide, top 22%, 1,045 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $91k; list at $215k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $173,378 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.98%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.70%
• DSCR: 0.79
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $265,089
• List price: $215,000
• Delta: -18.90%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -25.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.15×
• Total profit: $-51,423
• Equity at exit: $32,057

10-year hold

• IRR: -25.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.17×
• Total profit: $-70,448
• Equity at exit: $18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28806

• Rents YoY: 2.1%
• Active inventory: 333
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,854 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax from tax record: −$132 /mo · $1,579/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$352
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $-236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,153

Max offer price $173,378

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-114	-5% $-175	+0% $-236	+5% $-296	+10% $-357
Rent	-10% $-382	-5% $-309	+0% $-236	+5% $-162	+10% $-89
Rate	-1.0pp $-127	-0.5pp $-181	base $-236	+0.5pp $-291	+1.0pp $-348

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,750
• Closing costs: $6,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
864 Sand Hill Rd Asheville, NC	3.0	2.0	1410	$2,250	$1.60	15d	1	0.49mi
24 Triple H Dr Unit C Asheville, NC	1.0	1.0	730	$1,150	$1.58	45d	1	0.63mi
26 Triple H Dr Unit A Asheville, NC	2.0	2.0	880	$1,700	$1.93	45d	1	0.63mi
115 Featherdown Way Asheville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1108	$1,764	$1.59	15d	23	0.91mi
145 Monroe Creek Blvd Asheville, NC	3.0–4.0	2.5	1464	$2,045	$1.40	15d	9	1.28mi
125 River Birch Grove Rd Asheville, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1127	$2,464	$2.18	15d	51	1.28mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $352 · $4,224/yr
• Likely covers: gaspool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $215,000 Active 198 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $215,000 Active 195 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $215,000 Active 194 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $215,000 Active 193 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $215,000 Active 192 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $215,000 Active 190 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $215,000 Active 187 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $215,000 Active 186 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $215,000 Active 185 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 184 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 181 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 180 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 179 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 178 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 177 DOM
16. 2026-03-20
    price $225,000 788-char remark

    Show marketing remark (788 chars)

    Come home to Biltmore Commons! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere and is ready for its new owners. The main living area features a gas fireplace and vaulted ceilings with skylights that flood the space with natural light. Head outside to your private screened in porch which offers beautiful views of lush greenery. The spacious master suite provides a peaceful retreat, while the community amenities — including a pool, tennis courts, and clubhouse — ensure you'll have plenty of ways to relax and socialize. Located in a welcoming neighborhood, this condo offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and lifestyle just minutes from dining, shopping, and outdoor activities. Seller to offer $5K flooring credit with acceptable offer!

17. 2025-12-04
    listed $235,000 Active 788-char remark

    Show marketing remark (788 chars)

    Come home to Biltmore Commons! This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo offers a cozy and inviting atmosphere and is ready for its new owners. The main living area features a gas fireplace and vaulted ceilings with skylights that flood the space with natural light. Head outside to your private screened in porch which offers beautiful views of lush greenery. The spacious master suite provides a peaceful retreat, while the community amenities — including a pool, tennis courts, and clubhouse — ensure you'll have plenty of ways to relax and socialize. Located in a welcoming neighborhood, this condo offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and lifestyle just minutes from dining, shopping, and outdoor activities. Seller to offer $5K flooring credit with acceptable offer!

18. 2025-07-30
    price $245,000
19. 2025-05-30
    price $255,000
20. 2025-04-25
    price $265,000
21. 2024-12-11
    listed $275,000 Active
22. 1998-10-09
    soldstatus $91,000
23. 1996-06-07
    soldstatus $81,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,579 · $132/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,763 · $147/mo
• Expected delta: +$184/yr (+$15/mo · 11.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,253
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,043
• − Property taxes: −$1,579
• − Insurance: −$1,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,780
• − Management: −$1,780
• − HOA: −$4,224
• − Depreciation: −$6,255
• Taxable loss: −$6,483
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,556
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Buncombe County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3700450
• Math proficiency: 45% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $45,981
• Composite: 40.32/100
• National rank: #3749
• State rank: #72 of 178 in NC

Livability — Asheville

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #96
• US rank: #6307

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Asheville, NC
• County: Buncombe County · 241,085 people
• City population: 137,611
• Metro: Asheville, NC
• Population (ZIP): 43,433
• Household income: $63,273
• Rent vs Own: 40.1% rent · 59.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 1783.0

Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 286,475 people
• By 2030: 302,237 · +5.5%
• By 2040: 330,687 · +15.4%
• By 2050: 356,370 · +24.4%
• By 2075: 409,383 · +42.9%
• By 2100: 437,270 · +52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -271.16%
• Current HPI: 350.3071
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.06%
• Metro: Asheville, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+176.1% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $225,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-04 Listed $235,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-30 Price Changed $245,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-30 Price Changed $255,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-25 Price Changed $265,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-12-11 Listed $275,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
• 1996-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,579 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.