None bd · None ba ·
2,094 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 525 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,241/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,101
Net cashflow
$1,354/mo
Annual
$16,244/yr
Cap rate
9.71%
Cash-on-cash
12.21%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $271/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
It's been on market 525 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $418k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AZ, #3,235 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F.
Glendale Union High School District (4285) (urban): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #130 of 249 in AZ (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $260k; list at $475k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.5% in Glendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,241/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 3741% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 525 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R1ZWGF15XQBNX9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29