5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,888 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,756/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$567
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$579
Net cashflow
$-173/mo
Annual
$-2,071/yr
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.18%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $318 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Morley Stanwood Community Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #390 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
15 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $278k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R2AK764SHD4NJH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29