115 Schafer Dr

Carlisle, AR 72024

$110,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,026 sqft · Built 1999 · SingleFamily · Under Contract · 10 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,224/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax + insurance: −$175
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$257
• Net cashflow: $215/mo
• Annual: $2,574/yr
• Cap rate: 8.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.36%
• DSCR: 1.37
• 1% rule: 1.11%
• Cash to close: $30,800

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#338 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
• Carlisle School District (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #177 of 238 in AR (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Lonoke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lonoke County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.