3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,580 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 217 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$348
HOA
−$70
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$516
Net cashflow
$345/mo
Annual
$4,140/yr
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.57%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#244 in FL, #3,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 639 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.3% in Mount Dora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R3F2JE7R0NGKXR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29