3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,327 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$-139/mo
Annual
$-1,673/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.96%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (8.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (25.7% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Glenwood Elementary (math 72% / reading 81%, grade A, #195 of 1,108 statewide, top 18%, 986 students, 44% FRL); Salem High (math 79% / reading 90%, grade A, #23 of 319 statewide, top 8%, 1,650 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $305k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R3Y6M38NZ8MA5F
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29