4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,128 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$45
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$907/mo
Annual
$10,881/yr
Cap rate
37.38%
Cash-on-cash
111.03%
DSCR
5.94
1% rule
4.11%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $907 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $667 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#244 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bowdon Elementary School (math 49% / reading 36%, grade F, #374 of 1,228 statewide, top 31%, 686 students, 62% FRL); Bowdon Middle School (math 44% / reading 45%, grade D, #109 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 282 students, 61% FRL); Bowdon High School (math 37% / reading 17%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 387 students, 60% FRL).
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 37.4% vs local median 3.0% in Bowdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R42CM75YP3GARR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29