310 Pine St · Bowdon, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
City lot, fixer upper
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- Built 1968
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.49 acre lot
- Financial info: Cash only listing terms
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Residential cabin / single-family residence; Cabin structure; Fixer condition; Built in 1968
- Construction: Press board construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Sloped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Country kitchen; No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Den; Country-style kitchen; Crawl space basement; One-level layout; No fireplaces; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $906 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 37.3% vs local median 3.0% in Bowdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#244 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowdon Elementary School (math 49% / reading 36%, grade F, #374 of 1,228 statewide, top 31%, 686 students, 62% FRL); Bowdon Middle School (math 44% / reading 45%, grade D, #109 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 282 students, 61% FRL); Bowdon High School (math 37% / reading 17%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 387 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $667 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 110.90%
- DSCR
- 5.93
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,528
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -81.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Pine St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 18mo | $221,000 | $184 | 62 |
| 308 Pine Cir | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-15%) | 14mo | $178,000 | $185 | 54 |
| 132 N Johnson St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 11mo | $204,900 | $171 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.48×
- Total profit
- $53,655
- Equity at exit
- $6,952
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.50×
- Total profit
- $122,514
- Equity at exit
- $6,089
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30108
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,435 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $362/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $906
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$35,000 New 21-char remark
-
2026-04-10historical
-
2026-03-20status Back On Market
-
2026-03-13status Pending Offer Approval
-
2026-03-03$50,000 New
-
2025-12-28historical
-
2025-10-23historical
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-09-01$70,000 New
-
2025-09-01$70,000 New
-
2025-09-01$70,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $362 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $362 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,226
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$362
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $10,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,239/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County
- NCES district ID
- 1300840
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,692
- Composite
- 35.62/100
- National rank
- #4888
- State rank
- #38 of 174 in GA
Livability — Bowdon
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #13849
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowdon, GA
- City population
- 7,031
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,031
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,370 people
- By 2030
- 127,186 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 133,534 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 137,612 · +11.5%
- By 2075
- 142,892 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 136,294 · +10.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Korean 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.1% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+40.1 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+32.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.91%
- Current HPI
- 406.9299
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-50.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $35,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-23 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $70,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $362 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…