3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,686 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,833/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$532
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,015
Net cashflow
$795/mo
Annual
$9,544/yr
Cap rate
8.30%
Cash-on-cash
7.18%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($468k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $468k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#105 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Regional School District 12 (rural): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 153 in CT (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Washington Primary School (math 64% / reading 84%, grade A, #44 of 553 statewide, top 10%, 162 students, 25% FRL); Shepaug Valley School (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B, #23 of 194 statewide, top 12%, 494 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 8% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in New Preston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R5CZX63ST0C3EG
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29