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27 Litchfield Tpke
B Composite 70.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$475,000

27 Litchfield Tpke · New Preston, CT 06777
3 bd · 3.5 ba · 1,686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1982 5.83 ac lot $282/sqft · 32% below area Est $911k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your imagination to 27 Litchfield Turnpike in New Preston. Turn this three-bedroom home on over 5.8 acres into your own. Home is being sold "As Is". In-law apartment over the garage. Plenty of open land and fields. The home is set off the main road to ensure some privacy. Close to Lake Waramaug, Hopkins Inn, Hopkins Vineyard, Washington Depot, New Preston, Marbledale and more. This is a great opportunity to revive this home and add great value.

Key facts

  • In-law apartment
  • Open land
  • Privacy

Tags

IN-LAW APARTMENTOPEN LANDPRIVACYCLOSE TO LAKE WARAMAUGCLOSE TO HOPKINS INNCLOSE TO HOPKINS VINEYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Connecticut, Litchfield County; Nearby amenities: golf course, lake, library, medical facilities, private schools

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family home for sale
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Gutters; Lightly wooded, treed, level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; Electric domestic hot water
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full, partially finished walk-out basement with concrete floor, interior and garage access, and heating; Has attic with access via hatch; In-law apartment possible with over-garage access; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry room on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
  • Recommended offer: $468k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in New Preston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#105 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Regional School District 12 (rural): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 153 in CT (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Primary School (math 64% / reading 84%, grade A, #44 of 553 statewide, top 10%, 162 students, 25% FRL); Shepaug Valley School (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B, #23 of 194 statewide, top 12%, 494 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 8% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($468k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $467,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.30%
Cash-on-cash
7.18%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$910,599
List price
$475,000
Delta
-47.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 Christian St 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,848 (+10%) 23mo $1,201,000 $650 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$80,332
Equity at exit
$184,371
10-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$250,710
Equity at exit
$263,225

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06777

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,833 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,491
Tax from tax record
$334 /mo · $4,010/yr
Insurance
$198
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,015
Net cashflow
$795

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,827
Max offer price $475,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$118,750
Closing costs
$14,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $475,000 Under Contract 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 20 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $475,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-12
    listed $475,000 Active 464-char remark
  13. 1999-07-07
    soldstatus $217,500
  14. 1998-08-06
    listed $229,900
  15. 1998-04-20
    historical
  16. 1998-04-20
    historical
  17. 1997-11-18
    listed $264,000
  18. 1997-11-17
    listed $264,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,010 · $334/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,088 · $591/mo
Expected delta
+$3,078/yr (+$256/mo · 76.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$58,000
− Mortgage interest
−$26,607
− Property taxes
−$4,010
− Insurance
−$2,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,640
− Management
−$4,640
− Depreciation
−$13,818
Taxable income
$1,910
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$458
After-tax cash flow
$9,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 12
NCES district ID
0903530
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$86,065
Composite
63.18/100
National rank
#638
State rank
#20 of 153 in CT

Livability — New Preston

Score
69/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#9031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,802
Population (ZIP)
1,802

Population outlook (Northwest Hills County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
118,998

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northwest Hills

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 49.9% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.88%
Current HPI
269.6504
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $530,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-06-11 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $475,000 Smart MLS
  • 1999-07-07 Sold (MLS) $217,500 Smart MLS
  • 1998-08-06 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS
  • 1998-04-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1998-04-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 1997-11-18 Listed $264,000 Smart MLS
  • 1997-11-17 Listed $264,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,010 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…