3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,525 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,982/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$35
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$416
Net cashflow
$24/mo
Annual
$293/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.44%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($293/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (15.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $198k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#332 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Jasper County (rural): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #113 of 174 in GA (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $235k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 35% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.4% in Flovilla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R6HJN548M2NXCR
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29