2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,657/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,312/yr
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.55%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#55 in OR, #1,748 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities D-.
Forest Grove SD 15 (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #111 of 183 in OR (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harvey Clarke Elementary School (425 students, 32% FRL); Neil Armstrong Middle School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #26 of 128 statewide, top 21%, 826 students, 48% FRL); Forest Grove High School (1,977 students, 41% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $140k implies a 418% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 2.5% in Forest Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R6K4BT8P8FHAM3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29