1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
440 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 163 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,465/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$834/mo
Annual
$10,003/yr
Cap rate
27.62%
Cash-on-cash
76.17%
DSCR
4.39
1% rule
3.12%
Cash to close
$13,132
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $324 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#181 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, cost of living F.
Charter Oak Unified (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #387 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cedargrove Elementary (563 students, 67% FRL); Royal Oak Middle (622 students, 66% FRL); Charter Oak High (math 46% / reading 57%, grade D+, #312 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,329 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $47k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 2.4% in Covina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet in living room and bedroom
Major: interior walls
— Worn paint and discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-R7VZRV5DEE2V13
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29