8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1973
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,754/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$412
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$788
Net cashflow
$652/mo
Annual
$7,824/yr
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $652 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $326/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $359k).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $316k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#691 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Bret Harte Union High (town): math 35% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #429 of 1,400 in CA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 235 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Calaveras County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calaveras County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $215k; list at $359k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.0% in Copperopolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29