3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,153/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$98/mo
Annual
$1,172/yr
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.10%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (14.6% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,110 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Haskell CISD (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #561 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Haskell El (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 267 students, 68% FRL).
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP.
Haskell County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29