2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,643 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$-12/mo
Annual
$-146/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-146/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (1.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (24.6% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $124k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#160 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Jackson R-II (suburban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #73 of 324 in MO (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R9MW418JM01PYR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29