2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1966
· Condo
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$768
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$475
Net cashflow
$-778/mo
Annual
$-9,334/yr
Cap rate
2.70%
Cash-on-cash
-12.82%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-778 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (43.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (43.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $611 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
Austin ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #431 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($162k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RAE50A5H45AYP9
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29