2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,229 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,722/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$450/mo
Annual
$5,401/yr
Cap rate
9.90%
Cash-on-cash
12.87%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#141 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Dickson County (rural): math 30% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #39 of 139 in TN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Charlotte Elementary (math 32% / reading 30%, grade F, #400 of 952 statewide, top 43%, 616 students, 0% FRL); Charlotte Middle School (math 30% / reading 25%, grade F, #122 of 333 statewide, top 38%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Creek Wood High School (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #75 of 332 statewide, top 24%, 933 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 376 units permitted in Dickson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickson County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $150k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.5% in Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RB436Q6YG245DE
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29