220 Henley Park Ln

Big Sandy, TN 38221

$18,500C-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · Built 1989 · SingleFamily · Active · 115 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,064/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$97
• Tax + insurance: −$89
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$223
• Net cashflow: $655/mo
• Annual: $7,861/yr
• Cap rate: 53.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 167.16%
• DSCR: 8.44
• 1% rule: 5.75%
• Cash to close: $5,180

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
• It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $17k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($128 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#315 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Benton County (town): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #66 of 139 in TN (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Camden Central High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 521 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Benton County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $5k; list at $18k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.