3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,004/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$755
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$589/mo
Annual
$7,063/yr
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.53%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$40,292
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $144k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $995 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#383 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton Central School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #185 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $144k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RCKZQSAV7B1FRT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29