3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,311 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$402
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-164/mo
Annual
$-1,970/yr
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.13%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-164 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (23.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (9.6% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Bland County Public School District (rural): math 62% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #23 of 131 in VA (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Bland County Elementary (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 371 students, 67% FRL); Bland County High (math 62% / reading 87%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 425 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 32% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Bland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $125k implies a 681% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDFEY23AA612FQ
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29