3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,448 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,906/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$371
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$400
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-227/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-227/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $191k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#517 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $220k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDYVA99CX6WRZ1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29