7814 Route 305

Belfast, NY 14711

$30,600B+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,282 sqft · Built 1955 · SingleFamily · Active · 59 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,080/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$160
• Tax + insurance: −$51
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$227
• Net cashflow: $642/mo
• Annual: $7,699/yr
• Cap rate: 31.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 89.86%
• DSCR: 5.00
• 1% rule: 3.53%
• Cash to close: $8,568

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $31k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $31k).
• It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $30k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($212 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#927 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
• Cuba-Rushford Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #350 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Cuba-Rushford Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 363 students, 57% FRL); Cuba-Rushford Middle School (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #511 of 729 statewide, top 71%, 167 students, 54% FRL); Cuba-Rushford High School (math 95% / reading 84%, grade A+, #250 of 1,100 statewide, top 24%, 209 students, 53% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.