3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
949 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,441/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$356
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$600
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-270/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
2.12%
Cash to close
$19,012
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-270/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $64k (5.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($469 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pemi-Baker Regional School District (rural): math 45% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #77 of 171 in NH (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; HOA is 42% of rent.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $11k; list at $68k implies a 501% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-REA0D3F9B7YWRX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29