3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
944 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$522
Tax + insurance
−$59
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$641
Net cashflow
$1,830/mo
Annual
$21,961/yr
Cap rate
28.34%
Cash-on-cash
78.75%
DSCR
4.50
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$27,887
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#624 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, employment F.
Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westminster High (math 51% / reading 68%, grade C+, #205 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,637 students, 87% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntington Beach Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-REB1WM4SSY1W7E
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29