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8200 Bolsa Ave #103
A Composite 89.44
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,595

8200 Bolsa Ave #103 · Midway City, CA 92655
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 944 sqft · Manufactured · 125 Days on market
Built 1999 Est $160k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in a quiet, all-ages community, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home has fantastic potential! Ready for updates, it gives you the chance to make it your own. Enjoy a spacious backyard, close to schools, shopping, and everyday conveniences. An ideal opportunity for anyone looking for an affordable home with room to grow and personalize.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Spacious backyard
  • Close to shopping

Tags

SPACIOUS BACKYARDCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Del Prado Bolsa; Manager approval required; Pets allowed
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $2,457 (park-managed)
  • HOA & community: Park community features; Rent includes trash, pool, sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: District/public water; Sewer or septic (unknown)
  • Home design: Mobile home (doublewide); Model 1L6442; Single-story; Mobile home remains on site; Repairs cosmetic
  • Construction: Pier jacks foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood fencing; Patio; Community pool; Wood skirting; Back yard

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: One-level home; Entry on main level; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric dryer hookup; Gas and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#624 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, employment F.
  • Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Westminster High (math 51% / reading 68%, grade C+, #205 of 1,170 statewide, top 19%, 2,637 students, 87% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntington Beach Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,643 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.06%
Cap rate
28.34%
Cash-on-cash
78.75%
DSCR
4.50
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,480
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15621 Beach Blvd. #121 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (+2%) 8mo $170,000 $177 54
15621 Beach Blvd #160 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (+2%) 2mo $80,000 $83 53
15621 BEACH Blvd #23 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (+10%) 2mo $105,000 $101 45
15621 Beach Blvd #115 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,060 (+12%) 5mo $180,000 $170 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
88.8%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$170,781
Equity at exit
$89,723
10-year hold
IRR
83.5%
Equity multiple
15.75×
Total profit
$411,222
Equity at exit
$193,491

Cash invested: $27,887 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92655

Home prices YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
15
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,052 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$522
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $211/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$641
Net cashflow
$1,830

Break-even live

Break-even rent $736
Max offer price $99,595
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,899
Closing costs
$2,988
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8041 Worthy Dr Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,700 $3.00 1d 1 0.53mi
15200 Magnolia St Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $2,675 $3.51 2d 2 0.81mi
14332 Joyce Ave Westminster, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,890 $3.54 1d 1 0.99mi
8400 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $3,007 $3.87 1d 13 1.00mi
7861 14th St Unit C Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 925 $2,800 $3.03 1d 1 1.02mi
16121 Malaga Ln Unit D Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 1d 1 1.02mi
7861 14th St Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 1025 $2,700 $2.63 2d 1 1.02mi
15100 Moran St Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1204 $3,847 $3.19 2d 8 1.04mi
7400 Center Ave Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 990 $4,119 $4.16 1d 1 1.08mi
7521 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1035 $4,315 $4.17 1d 23 1.08mi
7942 Stark Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,495 $2.50 15d 1 1.11mi
7643 14th St Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 1002 $3,250 $3.24 1d 1 1.13mi
7461 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $4,325 $4.19 1d 26 1.15mi
16162 Sher Ln Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1090 $2,825 $2.59 1d 9 1.16mi
7891 Holt Dr Unit 03 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,295 $2.70 19d 1 1.17mi
8631 Westminster Ave Garden Grove, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 660 $2,489 $3.77 1d 9 1.21mi
7661 Baylor Dr Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 787 $2,400 $3.05 1d 2 1.22mi
7601 Amazon Dr Unit 2 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,650 $2.65 1d 1 1.26mi
14523 Ontario Dr Westminster, CA 2.0 2.0 750 $2,600 $3.47 43d 1 1.27mi
7912 Glencoe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 1100 $3,900 $3.55 1d 1 1.34mi
7290 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $3,824 $4.06 1d 19 1.36mi
8810 Hewitt Pl #22 Garden Grove, CA 2.0 2.5 1025 $3,200 $3.12 1d 1 1.37mi
13920 Hoover St Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 645 $3,031 $4.70 1d 11 1.38mi
15596 Dawson Ln Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,600 $3.60 1d 1 1.46mi
7012 Main St Westminster, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $2,395 $2.95 11d 5 1.49mi
7012 Main St Unit 7042-11 Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,395 $2.66 1d 1 1.50mi
7012 Main St Unit 7022-16 Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,395 $2.66 7d 1 1.50mi
7012 Main St Unit 7042-06 Westminster, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,395 $2.66 17d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,595 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,595 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,595 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,595 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,595 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,595 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,595 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,595 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,595 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,595 Active 111 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,595 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,595 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,595 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,595 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-05-16
    price $99,595
  16. 2026-05-06
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-13
    status Pending Sale
  18. 2026-01-21
    listed $120,000 Active
  19. 2008-10-31
    historical
  20. 2008-07-26
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$211 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$757 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$46/mo · 259.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,629
− Mortgage interest
−$5,579
− Property taxes
−$211
− Insurance
−$498
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,930
− Management
−$2,930
− Depreciation
−$2,897
Taxable income
$21,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,180
After-tax cash flow
$16,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntington Beach Union High
NCES district ID
0618060
Math proficiency
65% ▲ 17.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$78,159
Composite
64.9/100
National rank
#511
State rank
#39 of 517 in CA

Livability — Midway City

Score
59/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#19816

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midway City, CA
City population
8,101
Population (ZIP)
8,101

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 44% Hispanic / Latino 35% White 16% Two or more races 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
49% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
28% English-only · Vietnamese 39% Spanish 26% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 97.88%
Current HPI
980.41
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $99,595 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $120,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-10-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-07-26 Listed $39,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $211 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…