4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,546 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,364/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$-41/mo
Annual
$-495/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.11%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-495/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,008 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Blue Ridge SD (rural): math 29% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 539 in PA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Ridge El Sch (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 495 students, 100% FRL); Blue Ridge Ms (math 19% / reading 58%, grade F, #275 of 512 statewide, top 55%, 219 students, 100% FRL); Blue Ridge Hs (math 54%, 290 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 42% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29