514 Indian Lake Dr

Moultrie, GA 31768

$170,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Built 1995 · Other · Pending · 54 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,569/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax + insurance: −$283
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$330
• Net cashflow: $65/mo
• Annual: $781/yr
• Cap rate: 6.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.64%
• DSCR: 1.07
• 1% rule: 0.92%
• Cash to close: $47,600

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($781/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (7.7% below list).
• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $157k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#374 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
• Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Okapilco Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 367 students, 97% FRL); Willie J. Williams Middle School (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,369 students, 85% FRL); Colquitt County High School (math 50% / reading 18%, grade F, #98 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,787 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 67% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Moultrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.