514 Indian Lake Dr · Moultrie, GA 31768

$170,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Other public records · 54 Days on market

Built 1995 0.52 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 4 bed 2 bath home on . 50 ac . outside storage building and above ground pool. Over 1800 sqft

Key facts

• 0.52 acre lot
• Garage
• Pool

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($781/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (7.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $157k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Moultrie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#374 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
• Colquitt County (town): math 29% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #117 of 174 in GA (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Okapilco Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 367 students, 97% FRL); Willie J. Williams Middle School (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,369 students, 85% FRL); Colquitt County High School (math 50% / reading 18%, grade F, #98 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,787 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 67% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Colquitt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Colquitt County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $156,948 (7.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.92% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.64%
• DSCR: 1.07
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.51×
• Total profit: $-23,380
• Equity at exit: $25,348

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-14,927
• Equity at exit: $14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31768

• Home prices YoY: -33.0%
• Active inventory: 140
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,569 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$330
• Net cashflow: $65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487

Max offer price $170,000

Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $183	-5% $124	+0% $65	+5% $6	+10% $-52
Rent	-10% $-59	-5% $3	+0% $65	+5% $127	+10% $189
Rate	-1.0pp $151	-0.5pp $108	base $65	+0.5pp $21	+1.0pp $-24

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2024-04-11
   soldstatus $170,000
2. 2024-03-09
   status Pending
3. 2024-01-15
   listed $170,000 Active
4. 2010-08-24
   soldstatus $32,000 98-char remark

   Show marketing remark (98 chars)

   Nice 4 bed 2 bath home on . 50 ac . outside storage building and above ground pool. Over 1800 sqft

5. 2010-07-29
   listed $34,995 98-char remark

   Show marketing remark (98 chars)

   Nice 4 bed 2 bath home on . 50 ac . outside storage building and above ground pool. Over 1800 sqft

6. 2009-12-01
   soldstatus $63,050
7. 2000-07-17
   soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,834
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$2,550
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,507
• − Management: −$1,507
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable loss: −$2,048
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$491
• After-tax cash flow: $1,272/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Colquitt County
• NCES district ID: 1301380
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $32,950
• Composite: 22.11/100
• National rank: #8176
• State rank: #117 of 174 in GA

Livability — Moultrie

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #374
• US rank: #18973

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 21,281

Population outlook (Colquitt County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,043 people
• By 2030: 45,757 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 44,929 · -2.4%
• By 2050: 43,901 · -4.7%
• By 2075: 40,831 · -11.3%
• By 2100: 37,986 · -17.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 13% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Colquitt

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.8% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -50.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+39.6 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -93.21%
• Current HPI: 188.988
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+261.7% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2024-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
• 2024-03-09 Pending — TABRMLS
• 2024-01-15 Listed $170,000 TABRMLS
• 2010-08-24 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MBOR
• 2010-07-29 Listed $34,995 MBOR
• 2009-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,050 Public Records
• 2000-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2021): $191 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.