3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,498 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$476
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-313/mo
Annual
$-3,757/yr
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.88%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-313 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (28.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (23.1% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#753 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jacksboro El (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 497 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 44% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Jack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RHCJ0FF0DW65Y9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29