3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,703 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 484 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,229/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,654
Tax + insurance
−$526
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$-418/mo
Annual
$-5,021/yr
Cap rate
4.70%
Cash-on-cash
-5.69%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$88,291
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $235k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-418 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 484 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#39 in GA, #4,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 847 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 484 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RHHZDW43135YWW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29