2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,085 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,479/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$230
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$521
Net cashflow
$-172/mo
Annual
$-2,062/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-172 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (9.8% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $248k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#163 in IL, #3,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, commute F.
Adlai E Stevenson Hsd 125 (suburban): math 72% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #3 of 620 in IL (top 0%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Adlai E Stevenson High School (math 72% / reading 73%, grade B+, #7 of 693 statewide, top 1%, 4,489 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $212k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in Buffalo Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($183k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJB004EZXBHDMX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29