3 bd · None ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,735/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$560
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$364
Net cashflow
$496/mo
Annual
$5,951/yr
Cap rate
25.42%
Cash-on-cash
68.31%
DSCR
4.04
1% rule
2.89%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 44/100 on livability (#567 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Augusta County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #52 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Craigsville Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #933 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 146 students, 100% FRL); Buffalo Gap High (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 435 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 32% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Augusta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior brick
— Significant weathering
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-RJZS14DHQM2SWF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29