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68 Augusta Springs Rd
B- Composite 69.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

68 Augusta Springs Rd · Augusta Springs, VA 24401
3 bd · None ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1890 Poor condition 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

BLANK SLATE TO MAKE YOUR DREAMS HAPPEN! What was once a church is now emptied and waiting to be brought back to life! Since closing it has been used primarily for storage but was at one time utilized as location for a online store! with the multiple rooms you can team up and bring a multitude of opportunities into this unique building!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large chicken coop
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE FLAT FULLY FENCED YARDPICTURESQUE RUNNING CREEKLARGE CHICKEN COOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Cable available; Satellite internet available
  • Home design: Detached single-story home; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,700 (owner provided)
  • Construction: Stick-built construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bathroom on the first level; Bonus room on the first level; Exercise room on the first level; Office on the first level; Study on the first level; Great room on the first level
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located downstairs; Home office

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#567 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Augusta County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #52 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Craigsville Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #933 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 146 students, 100% FRL); Buffalo Gap High (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 435 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 32% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Augusta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.89%
Cap rate
25.42%
Cash-on-cash
68.31%
DSCR
4.04
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$27,145
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
44.7%
Equity multiple
6.19×
Total profit
$87,158
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24401

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,735 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$496

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    price $60,000
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $275,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,826
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$5,825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,666
− Management
−$1,666
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$4,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This former church building requires extensive renovation to bring it back to life, with major repairs needed to the exterior and landscaping. Updates to the exterior and HVAC would significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior brick — Significant weathering
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both exterior painting — Enhances appearance and value
  • Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior brick · Significant weathering Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both exterior painting — Enhances appearance and value
  • Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Augusta County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100300
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,562
Composite
53.02/100
National rank
#1521
State rank
#52 of 131 in VA

Livability — Augusta Springs

Score
44/100
State rank
#567
US rank
#26743

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta Springs, VA
County
Staunton City · 38,756 people
City population
3
Metro
Staunton, VA
Population (ZIP)
38,756
Household income
$66,300
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Augusta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,558 people
By 2030
78,389 · +1.1%
By 2040
78,629 · +1.4%
By 2050
77,171 · -0.5%
By 2075
74,455 · -4.0%
By 2100
65,077 · -16.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Augusta

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.5) · D 25.8% · R 73.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -39.9pp · 2024: -47.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+49.2 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+39.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.01%
Current HPI
210.049
Rent YoY
▲ 5.77%
Metro
Staunton, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $60,000 GAAR
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $275,000 GAAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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