2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,230 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,768/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$508
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,001
Net cashflow
$1,240/mo
Annual
$14,883/yr
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.55%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $310/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $385k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $350k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#263 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Colusa Unified (town): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #321 of 517 in CA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 57 units permitted in Colusa County in 2024 (31 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colusa County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $280k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 1.2% in Colusa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RKDTGTCETMR9WJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29