8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,102 sqft ·
Built 2019
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,216
Tax + insurance
−$894
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$785
Net cashflow
$-175/mo
Annual
$-2,096/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$118,300
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $422k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-87/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $392k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $374k (11.6% below list).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $372k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#110 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Circle (rural): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #28 of 169 in KS (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Circle Greenwich Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #59 of 684 statewide, top 9%, 332 students, 21% FRL); Circle Middle School (math 17% / reading 33%, grade F, #108 of 219 statewide, top 50%, 303 students, 32% FRL); Circle High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 600 students, 31% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,737/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 779% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29