5326-5328 N Cypress St · Bel Aire, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$422,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Key facts
- Duplex investment
- Long term tenants
- Fully occupied
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care and trash collection
- HOA & community: Has association; Association fee of $200
Exterior
- Parking: 10 total parking spaces; Paved parking; Attached parking; Approximately 2 spaces per unit
- Security: Fenced
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Sewer available; Public water
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Other
- Bathrooms:
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Finished basement; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $422k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-87/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $392k (7.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $374k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $372k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#110 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Circle (rural): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #28 of 169 in KS (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Circle Greenwich Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #59 of 684 statewide, top 9%, 332 students, 21% FRL); Circle Middle School (math 17% / reading 33%, grade F, #108 of 219 statewide, top 50%, 303 students, 32% FRL); Circle High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 600 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,613 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,737/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 779% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sedgwick County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.77%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-72,902
- Equity at exit
- $62,996
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-49,443
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
Cash invested: $118,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67226
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 18.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,737 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,216
- Tax from tax record
- −$718 /mo · $8,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$176
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$785
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $3,736 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $1,868 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $1,868 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,737 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $105,625
- Closing costs
- $12,675
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-03-26price $422,500
-
2026-01-05$425,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,618 · $718/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,618 · $718/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,667
- − Property taxes
- −$8,618
- − Insurance
- −$2,112
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,588
- − Management
- −$3,588
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$12,291
- Taxable loss
- −$9,223
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,214
- After-tax cash flow
- $118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Circle
- NCES district ID
- 2012300
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,703
- Composite
- 35.03/100
- National rank
- #5039
- State rank
- #28 of 169 in KS
Livability — Bel Aire
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #6178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bel Aire, KS
- County
- Sedgwick County · 432,957 people
- Metro
- Wichita, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,596
- Household income
- $92,341
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 779.0
Population outlook (Sedgwick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 537,014 people
- By 2030
- 546,984 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 559,141 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 562,027 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 557,255 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 513,383 · -4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Arabic 5% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sedgwick
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.3% · R 56.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.1pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.6 2016: R+19.1 2012: R+19.7 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.84%
- Current HPI
- 221.9475
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.70%
- Metro
- Wichita, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-0.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $422,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listed $425,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+91.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,618 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…