3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,432 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 186 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$518
Tax + insurance
−$89
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$256/mo
Annual
$3,074/yr
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.12%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$27,636
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $682 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#285 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Independence (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #76 of 169 in KS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Eisenhower Elem (391 students, 75% FRL); Independence Middle (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #85 of 219 statewide, top 40%, 433 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 49% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29