216 S 14th St · Independence, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Attic storage
- Mature pecan tree
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,432 (source: public records)
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking; Two garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two stories; Approximately 101+ years old; East-facing (property sits on the east side of the road)
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Basement (unfinished/partial)
- Exterior features: Metal fencing; Property not in a flood plain; Lot approximately 8,151 square feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Two-story floor plan; Unfinished partial basement with sump pump; Two fireplaces (dining room and living room)
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#285 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Independence (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #76 of 169 in KS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $682 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.12%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $101,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 S 11th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,539 (+8%) | 2mo | $79,900 | $52 | 72 |
| 417 S 11th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,428 (-0%) | 16mo | $92,000 | $64 | 67 |
| 208 S 16th St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,609 (+12%) | 4mo | $29,000 | $18 | 67 |
| 621 W Laurel St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $33 | 63 |
| 405 North 10th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (+3%) | 13mo | $84,900 | $58 | 62 |
| 917 W Main St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 9mo | $99,900 | $80 | 61 |
| 620 S 6th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (+1%) | 7mo | $139,500 | $96 | 60 |
| 832 S 19th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,537 (+7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 624 N 15th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (+5%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 404 S 12th St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,259 (-12%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $71 | 51 |
| 401 S 6th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,292 (-10%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 404 N 9th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (+9%) | 17mo | $154,900 | $99 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $294
- Equity at exit
- $14,716
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $21,144
- Equity at exit
- $8,534
Cash invested: $27,636 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67301
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$518
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $570/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,675
- Closing costs
- $2,961
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,700 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,700 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,700 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,700 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,700 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $98,700 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,700 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,700 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,700 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $98,700 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $98,700 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,700 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,700 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,700 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,700 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-03-18status Active
-
2026-01-13status Pending
-
2025-11-10price $98,700
-
2025-10-14$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $570 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,392 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$822/yr (+$69/mo · 144.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,529
- − Property taxes
- −$570
- − Insurance
- −$494
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$2,871
- Taxable income
- $1,540
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$370
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,705/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence
- NCES district ID
- 2007650
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,327
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6750
- State rank
- #76 of 169 in KS
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #12779
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,996
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,729 people
- By 2030
- 27,786 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 24,201 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 21,280 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 16,754 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 14,088 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.6% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -51.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.1 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.85%
- Current HPI
- 126.8212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $98,700 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-14 Listed $105,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $570 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…