3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,129 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$407
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-470/mo
Annual
$-5,642/yr
Cap rate
3.52%
Cash-on-cash
-9.89%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-470 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $92k (47.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (38.2% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (47.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#265 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
South Newton School Corporation (rural): math 29% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #219 of 301 in IN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Newton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29